Trends suggest that coronavirus cases in Mumbai are doubling faster right now than in the second wave
Mumbai logged in 1,333 cases on Tuesday, a massive surge from the 809 infections reported on Monday. This tally accounts for around 63.3% of the state’s total count of 2,172 cases recorded in the last 24 hours. The fresh load is notably the highest spike since May 26 (approximately 7 months ago), when 1,352 cases were registered.
Third-wave already in Mumbai?
Trends suggest that the COVID cases in Mumbai are rising progressively faster than in the previous waves of the pandemic. As per stats, the doubling rate during the first wave was around 12 days. This duration was stretched up to 20 days during the second lethal wave, witnessed earlier this year. However, this time around, it has taken only 4 days for cases to rise by two folds in Mumbai. In December alone, the case positivity ratio has scaled by 1,134% in the city, with the active load rising from 1,904 to 5,803 in just 28 days.
While most patients of this fresh load are mildly symptomatic, medical officials have linked the unprecedented infection swell to the possibility of an Omicron-caused third wave in Mumbai. According to a doctor of the Maharashtra COVID-19 task force, it will take about two more weeks to confirm the third-wave theory in the city.
Besides, there are a few epidemiological factors that are contributing to the sudden rise in cases, officials pointed out. However, here too, Mumbai's high seroprevalence reports suggest that the infection is indeed spurred by the new Omicron strain, than the Delta derivatives.
Public carelessness fuels COVID spread
It has been identified that nearly 90% of the newly emerging cases are coming from high-rise buildings, with little to no significant surges in slums. Prominent localities of the A ward (covering South Mumbai) have recorded the highest 7-day spike at 0.18%, much higher than the city's average of 0.09%. Notably, those who tested positive recently seem to have contracted the virus in violation of the pandemic-appropriate protocols.
Despite several precautionary protocols and guidelines in action, Mumbai folks are gathering in large numbers to celebrate the ongoing holiday festivities. Reportedly, a huge crowd assembled at the Bandra Reclamation area on Tuesday, on account of New Year gaiety, without any heed to COVID restrictions.
This laxity, in a scenario, when it is not known what is causing the virus to spread, is an invitation to another peak. The public needs to cooperate with the civic, health and state authorities, with responsibility, to curb the growing threat of a health emergency yet again.