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Expected COVID third wave may peak around September-October: IIT Kanpur study highlights

By this week's end, IIT Kanpur is set to release another study regarding the anticipated third-wave infection.

Amid various speculations regarding the incidence of the third pandemic wave, an IIT Kanpur study conducted by Professor Rajesh Rajan and Mahendra Verma, states that the probable infection peak will be noted around September-October this year. The study has charted the occurrence of three scenarios, factored on the virus growth, mutation, the transmission. This forecast has been developed using the SIR model on the basis of the epidemic parameters of the second wave.


Three scenarios of COVID third wave advent

The Indian Institute of Technology at Kanpur, has prescribed three hypotheses regarding the surge of the anticipated third wave rise. These assumptions include:

  • Back-to-Normal: The upcoming third wave infection peaks in October, however, the impact is lower (shortened peak) than the second wave.
  • Normal with virus mutations: The virus may peak higher than the second wave. It may even appear early in September.
  • Stricter interventions: The peak is interjected with the enforcement of strict norms and social distance. This delays the peak in October and reduces its ferocity i.e., lesser in impact than the second wave.

IIT Kanpur analyses COVID trends via SIR COVID prediction model

IIT Kanpur has devised an indigenous system to chart the trends to forecast the COVID-19 spread. Professor Rajesh Rajan and Mahendra Verma, along with their teams are using this covid19-forecast.org. module to predict even the daily surge of the infection as well. Based on the concrete analysis via this technology, the IIT Kanpur team believes that the second wave COVID threat has been waned offshore in almost every state, except in northeast India.

The COVID-19 study highlights that the country's overall infection positivity rate is less than 5%, however, states like Kerala, Goa, Sikkim and Meghalaya are still clocking over 10% test positivity. Lowering of the positivity rate has led to a reduction in the number of daily fresh cases, reducing the second wave spread. It also highlighted that though the nation's fatality ratio (deaths) has increased recently to 3.5%, the aggregate total is comparable to the first wave toll.

"At present, the model does not include vaccination, which should decrease the peak significantly. Revised model with vaccination and with more recent data on the same is being worked out," the study says. Reportedly, Kanpur's premier technology institute will roll out another study regarding the anticipated third-wave infection by the end of this week.

Newly launched e-buses to connect Lucknow to nearby rural areas from October 25

The fares for the e-buses will range from ₹5 for 3 km to ₹37 for more than 25 km

The newly launched electric buses in the city will ply on a new route, connecting Lucknow to the rural areas around, starting October 25. This will be the first time that such a service will be deployed in these areas, wherein commuters will be able to travel to and from the city, in the comfort of new state-of-the-art e-buses. The trials for the same are currently underway.

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List of SOPs issued for colleges in Mumbai ahead of the scheduled reopening on Wednesday

Check out the details of the guidelines issued by the University of Mumbai for its affiliated colleges here

Degree colleges in Mumbai are all set to resume offline classes from October 20. Ahead of the reopening, the University of Mumbai has issued new SOPs to ensure safety for all staffers and students. Amongst various other steps, the college authorities have been asked to take ensure social distancing, follow the mask norm, and maintain hygiene. Read on to check out other details:

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LMC to fight air pollution in Lucknow with new anti-smog guns!

Notably, Lucknow Municipal Corporation had purchased 3 anti-smog guns last year as well.

Lucknow Municipal Corporation will deploy vehicles equipped with new anti-smog guns to combat the growing levels of air pollution in the city. The anti-smog guns will ensure proper visibility during the foggy season by improving the quality of air significantly and making it more breathable for the citizens here.

Notably, as per the World Air Quality Report 2020, Lucknow was ranked as the ninth most polluted city in the world. It has been reported that the level of pollution rises significantly during the winters due to the drop in temperature paired with high moisture content apart from other common factors. This deadly combination leads to the trapping of particulate matter in the atmosphere, thereby deteriorating the air quality.

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Sale & use of green firecrackers allowed in Jaipur & other Raj districts

The cracker ban is lifted in all districts, except the ones that fall in the NCR area.

In a bid to promote an ecological festive season, the Rajasthan government has permitted the sale and use of only green firecrackers, in all regions execpt those falling under NCR. Additionaly, the ban will remain in force in cities with poor air quality.

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Zero COVID fatalities reported in Mumbai on Sunday, for the first time in 20 months!

The latest development has brought in a new respite to the citizens and authorities alike.

After a difficult year marred by the pandemic, there is finally some good news for the people of Mumbai. For the first time since the onset of COVID on March 26, 2020, the metropolitan city has reported zero fatalities. While the city is already on the path to recovery with a decline in cases each day, the latest development has brought in a new respite to the citizens and authorities alike.

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New flights to ease connectivity from Indore to Mumbai, Ahmedabad, Delhi & Hyderabad from October 31

These flights are part of the winter schedule approved by the DGCA

As per the new winter flight schedule approved by the Directorate General of Civil Aviation, 25 new flight services will be started to ease connectivity from Indore to Mumbai, Delhi, Hyderabad and Ahmedabad. The daily flight movement between Indore and Delhi is set to increase with the induction of 16 new flights on this route. 10 new flights on both Indore-Ahmedabad and Indore-Mumbai routes along with at least 8 other services between Indore- Hyderabad, will also be functional from October 31.

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Jaipur's Mridul Agarwal creates history by scoring the highest-ever percentile in JEE Advanced!

Reportedly, more than 30 students from Jaipur have qualified the Joint Engineering Exam this year.

Jaipur's 18-year-old Mridul Agarwal, who appeared for the Joint Entrance Examination Advanced (JEE) Advanced from the IIT Delhi zone, is the all-India topper this year. Bringing laurels to the Pink City, Mridul has created a history by getting 96%, the highest-ever percentile in the examination. Moreover, over 30 students from the city have qualified for this entrance examination this year.

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